As of September 30, 2022, the NOAA page on “Global Warming and Hurricanes” contained this conclusion in section “B. Analysis of century-scale Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane frequency” (written in bold font): “We conclude that the historical Atlantic hurricane data at this stage do not provide compelling evidence for a substantial greenhouse warming-induced century-scale increase in: frequency of tropical storms, hurricanes, or major hurricanes, or in the proportion of hurricanes that become major hurricanes.”
Has James Kosin, NOAA scientist, retracted his findings?
One wonders why Study Finds is just now republishing a study from two years ago when we have had one of the lowest years for Atlantic cyclone activity “on record.” And even two years ago, here is the operative statement:
“…but our results don’t tell us precisely how much of the trends are caused by human activities and how much may be just natural variability.”
Even with the shortened window of 40 years, current Accumulated Hurricane Energy (ACE) is at one of the lowest levels in years.
I suggest Study Finds try to promote some recent science such as Dr. Ryan N. Maue’s Global Tropical Cyclone Activity site which presents current ACE data, data that corroborate the NOAA statement presented by David Harris’ comment. And anyone familiar with the tracking of ACE knows that Dr. Maue is THE expert in this field.
As of September 30, 2022, the NOAA page on “Global Warming and Hurricanes” contained this conclusion in section “B. Analysis of century-scale Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane frequency” (written in bold font): “We conclude that the historical Atlantic hurricane data at this stage do not provide compelling evidence for a substantial greenhouse warming-induced century-scale increase in: frequency of tropical storms, hurricanes, or major hurricanes, or in the proportion of hurricanes that become major hurricanes.”
Has James Kosin, NOAA scientist, retracted his findings?
One wonders why Study Finds is just now republishing a study from two years ago when we have had one of the lowest years for Atlantic cyclone activity “on record.” And even two years ago, here is the operative statement:
“…but our results don’t tell us precisely how much of the trends are caused by human activities and how much may be just natural variability.”
Even with the shortened window of 40 years, current Accumulated Hurricane Energy (ACE) is at one of the lowest levels in years.
I suggest Study Finds try to promote some recent science such as Dr. Ryan N. Maue’s Global Tropical Cyclone Activity site which presents current ACE data, data that corroborate the NOAA statement presented by David Harris’ comment. And anyone familiar with the tracking of ACE knows that Dr. Maue is THE expert in this field.
https://climatlas.com/tropical/