LAS VEGAS — Super Bowl LVIII is here, and aside from how many times Taylor Swift will appear on the screen, the only question remaining is who wins the big game on Sunday — Chiefs or 49ers? If you can’t wait for the answer or just want to place your Super Bowl bets ahead of time, one of the most popular sports video games of all time has you covered. According to a computer simulation, the Kansas City Chiefs will repeat as Super Bowl champions.
The simulated matchup in EA’s Madden NFL 24 predicts that quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will edge out San Francisco 30-28 in Super Bowl LVIII. The simulations also see Mahomes winning the Super Bowl Most Valuable Player award for the second straight year.
How trustworthy is this prediction?
Although Madden may be the gold standard when it comes to NFL video games, its annual computer-generated Super Bowl predictions have been on a serious losing streak in recent years! The computer has gotten the winning team wrong in the last three Super Bowls.
That streak includes betting against Mahomes and the Chiefs last year when they defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35. Last year’s simulation in Madden NFL 23 predicted the Eagles would crush Kansas City 31-17. Before that, the computer simulations incorrectly picked the Bengals to win Super Bowl LVI (the Rams won) and the Chiefs to win Super Bowl LV (Tom Brady and the Buccaneers won).
Interestingly, the last time the Madden simulation correctly picked the winner of the Super Bowl was four years ago in Super Bowl LIV, when Mahomes and the Chiefs beat the 49ers 31-20. Will history repeat itself on Sunday?
Although the game developers actually lean on artificial intelligence to perfect their game predictions, Madden’s recent Super Bowl simulations have failed to pick the winner in six of the last eight Super Bowls.
Madden’s 20 Computer-Generated Predictions:
| Year | Madden prediction | Actual score | Correct winner? |
| Super Bowl 57 | Eagles 31, Chiefs 17 | Chiefs 38, Eagles 35 | No |
| SB 56 | Bengals 24, Rams 21 | Rams 23, Bengals 20 | No |
| SB 55 | Chiefs 37, Buccaneers 27 | Buccaneers 33, Chiefs 9 | No |
| SB 54 | Chiefs 35, 49ers 31 | Chiefs 31, 49ers 20 | Yes |
| SB 53 | Rams 30, Patriots 27 | Patriots 13, Rams 3 | No |
| SB 52 | Patriots 24, Eagles 20 | Eagles 41, Patriots 33 | No |
| SB 51 | Patriots 27, Falcons 24 | Patriots 34, Falcons 28 | Yes |
| SB 50 | Panthers 24, Broncos 20 | Broncos 24, Panthers 10 | No |
| SB 49 | Patriots 28, Seahawks 24 | Patriots 28, Seahawks 24 | Perfect |
| SB 48 | Broncos 31, Seahawks 28 | Seahawks 43, Broncos 8 | No |
| SB 47 | Ravens 27, 49ers 24 | Ravens 34, 49ers 31 | Yes |
| SB 46 | Giants 27, Patriots 24 | Giants 21, Patriots 17 | Yes |
| SB 45 | Steelers 24, Packers 20 | Packers 31, Steelers 25 | No |
| SB 44 | Saints 35, Colts 31 | Saints 31, Colts 17 | Yes |
| SB 43 | Steelers 28, Cardinals 24 | Steelers 27, Cardinals 23 | Yes |
| SB 42 | Patriots 38, Giants 30 | Giants 17, Patriots 14 | No |
| SB 41 | Colts 38, Bears 27 | Colts 29, Bears 17 | Yes |
| SB 40 | Steelers 24, Seahawks 19 | Steelers 21, Seahawks 10 | Yes |
| SB 39 | Patriots 47, Eagles 31 | Patriots 24, Eagles 21 | Yes |
| SB 38 | Patriots 23, Panthers 20 | Patriots 32, Panthers 29 | Yes |
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Same model they use to predict climate warming.
As a Bears fan I am not a fan of either, but the Chiefs are a no no to me, and I am not a SF fan, but a NFC fan so here it is SF 27 Chiefs 23 BOOK IT! The kid SF QB will over take a spoiled brat Chiefs QB!